exceLqa
做空

BTCUSD Bulltrap

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特币/美元
Be carefull, don't get bulltraped. High chance that we are in one now.
Previous falls always retraced to 0.786 fib, then fall continued, and ended on WMA (200) line, with touching oversold zone on RSI , so high chance of repeating.
We have strong support on 5000, so fall should'n be ended below that poin, but it's crypto, and the panic is good way to buy more.
According elliot waves (4) should enden below wave (1), but we can break that level(previous hight 4970) short term, to cause some panic.
评论: (4) should't ended below wave (1), sorry
评论: I don't like to use such spikes as landmarks, but if price will go above 0.782 fib with 7365 price, so probably i was wrong in my idea.
snapshot
评论: Strong bear divergence
snapshot
交易结束:到达止损: Seems that i messed something. Not sure where will market move now, but i will go to long positions only after RSI hits 30, or oversold zone.
评论: missed*
评论: Wow! That's Bitcoin, again! :)
Some thoughts:
1. We are about to touch upper chanell that's regulary send bitcoin to correction after two touches, could it be the same this time?
2. Fibo 2 stends right on the channel line on 8200 price
3. All previous observations: RSI - no continuation signal, WMA(200) untouched.


snapshot
评论: As evolution of idea:
Are we still waiting for the outcome of the chart? One hour we have a golden cross as I am typing this.
回复
Good idea and observation non-the-less.
+1 回复
exceLqa fernx
@fernx, ty, let's see how it's plays out
回复
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