BITCOIN "WHEN IN DOUBT STAY OUT", current $5713.88 20Oct17
On reflection, I am cancelling any Longs given we are at extended levels. Whilst, there is a possibility we can get to 6k I am conscious of 2 things I see in my TA, which I cannot ignore.
1. According to my Wave Count, we are in Wave 5 on a Daily Chart. Wave 3, is usually the longest but Wave 5 can be equal to Wave 3. There is just not "enough meat on the bone" for a Long now.
2. Momentum concerns me. The High of 2Sept17 came with falling momentum, resulting in a selloff (Wave4). We have rising momentum, however, if we compare 17Aug17 high's price and momentum and the current price high and momentum we can see that price has exceeded 17Aug17 High but momentum has not exceeded 17Aug17 momentum peak.
Given we appear to be at extended levels on the Wave Count and Momentum is not in synch, this makes me wary.
I only look for High Probability Plays, so this does not match my criteria.
Therefore my golden rule is: "WHEN IN DOUBT STAY OUT"
and I am going with a neutral stance, for now, and not willing to risk my capital which remains intact.
NOTE: On a Weekly Wave Count, I am very bullish (see related chart)
Sean Vengan
10+ Years Professional Trader and Trading Educator
REALITIES IN TRADING:
In trading, there are Winners and Losers. Accept it. If you can't you shouldn't be trading.
We protect our capital with stop losses. Our winning trades eat up our losing trades, with the goal, over a series of trades, to be NET POSITIVE.
Ignore newbies who are uneducated in trading & investing and say "You were so wrong" (we as traders know, a loss is insignificant over a number of trades).
Each trade posted is YOUR FREE CHOICE, YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT and YOUR RESPONSIBILITY.
Always factor in "WHAT IF I LOSE MONEY ????"
DISCLAIMERS TO VIEWERS OF MY POSTS - PLEASE READ CAREFULLY
1. If you don't agree with my views or analysis and looking to just be mischievous, it's very simple, FOLLOW SOMEONE ELSE
2. I am not here to give you financial advice and if you take a trade it is YOUR FULL RESPONSIBILITY, not mine.
3. I am not your Professional Trading Mentor or here to provide you with a Free Professional Trading Advisory Service.
4. I am not obliged to provide analysis, commentary or answer any of your questions. I am here to trade for my sole benefit, not for your benefit.
5. I am a paid member, not a free member, so I am on Trading Views to use their paid services. My presence on TV is not to provide you with analysis.
6. I am happy to help you in your trading if I choose to and I feel you are being courtesy. It is my free choice to answer you, I am not obliged to.
7. If I provide and give up MY VALUABLE TIME providing analysis to you please respect that I am providing it FREE of charge. Appreciate it and don't take it for granted.
8. If you comment to me, simply be courteous and we can show each other mutual respect. If you are rude or disrespectful I will ignore you or send you a curt reply.
9. If you are abusive I will report you and will leave it to the moderators to decide if you should be banned.
10. If you don't like my views eg If I think Bitcoin is going up and you think it is going down, then please do not abuse me just for having opposing view to you. Show us all your analysis, don't hide behind rude comments and alias name. Lack of analysis shows lack of knowledge and experience.
11. I have no issue with you expressing your opinion or disagreeing with my views but please DON'T DISRESPECT me or other traders or write personal comments, this is offensive.
12. I have over 10years+ solid Trading Experience. I do not need to justify myself to you my knowledge and experience, my analysis and commentary demonstrate my skills and expertise.
1. According to my Wave Count, we are in Wave 5 on a Daily Chart. Wave 3, is usually the longest but Wave 5 can be equal to Wave 3. There is just not "enough meat on the bone" for a Long now.
2. Momentum concerns me. The High of 2Sept17 came with falling momentum, resulting in a selloff (Wave4). We have rising momentum, however, if we compare 17Aug17 high's price and momentum and the current price high and momentum we can see that price has exceeded 17Aug17 High but momentum has not exceeded 17Aug17 momentum peak.
Given we appear to be at extended levels on the Wave Count and Momentum is not in synch, this makes me wary.
I only look for High Probability Plays, so this does not match my criteria.
Therefore my golden rule is: "WHEN IN DOUBT STAY OUT"
and I am going with a neutral stance, for now, and not willing to risk my capital which remains intact.
NOTE: On a Weekly Wave Count, I am very bullish (see related chart)
Sean Vengan
10+ Years Professional Trader and Trading Educator
REALITIES IN TRADING:
In trading, there are Winners and Losers. Accept it. If you can't you shouldn't be trading.
We protect our capital with stop losses. Our winning trades eat up our losing trades, with the goal, over a series of trades, to be NET POSITIVE.
Ignore newbies who are uneducated in trading & investing and say "You were so wrong" (we as traders know, a loss is insignificant over a number of trades).
Each trade posted is YOUR FREE CHOICE, YOUR RISK MANAGEMENT and YOUR RESPONSIBILITY.
Always factor in "WHAT IF I LOSE MONEY ????"
DISCLAIMERS TO VIEWERS OF MY POSTS - PLEASE READ CAREFULLY
1. If you don't agree with my views or analysis and looking to just be mischievous, it's very simple, FOLLOW SOMEONE ELSE
2. I am not here to give you financial advice and if you take a trade it is YOUR FULL RESPONSIBILITY, not mine.
3. I am not your Professional Trading Mentor or here to provide you with a Free Professional Trading Advisory Service.
4. I am not obliged to provide analysis, commentary or answer any of your questions. I am here to trade for my sole benefit, not for your benefit.
5. I am a paid member, not a free member, so I am on Trading Views to use their paid services. My presence on TV is not to provide you with analysis.
6. I am happy to help you in your trading if I choose to and I feel you are being courtesy. It is my free choice to answer you, I am not obliged to.
7. If I provide and give up MY VALUABLE TIME providing analysis to you please respect that I am providing it FREE of charge. Appreciate it and don't take it for granted.
8. If you comment to me, simply be courteous and we can show each other mutual respect. If you are rude or disrespectful I will ignore you or send you a curt reply.
9. If you are abusive I will report you and will leave it to the moderators to decide if you should be banned.
10. If you don't like my views eg If I think Bitcoin is going up and you think it is going down, then please do not abuse me just for having opposing view to you. Show us all your analysis, don't hide behind rude comments and alias name. Lack of analysis shows lack of knowledge and experience.
11. I have no issue with you expressing your opinion or disagreeing with my views but please DON'T DISRESPECT me or other traders or write personal comments, this is offensive.
12. I have over 10years+ solid Trading Experience. I do not need to justify myself to you my knowledge and experience, my analysis and commentary demonstrate my skills and expertise.
