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bagofXMR
Feb 2, 2018 12:52 PM

Bitcoin long 4 to 1 risk reward 做多

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

描述

Not my field, but this is a nice spot to long for a 4:1 Risk/Reward trade
I had made a mistake in the previous chart and while i deleted the previous and published the new the price changed. My exact entry can be checked here in twitter
twitter.com/criptomaniaweb/status/959408144765083650

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They owe me obedience, like a Caesar
twitter.com/criptomaniaweb/status/959415400189644801

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A retest of this neckline would justify a move up to 10k
pbs.twimg.com/media/DVCtvFxUQAApDOf.jpg

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Inverse head and shoulders just confirmed targeting the same area.

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Time to think about stops in profit. If 8800 ends up failing and there is no bounce we will retest lows, which i dont want to do holding my position. So placing a stop at 8250 for now.

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After being stopped out at 8250 I am a buyer again in the low 6000

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Got some interesting fills down there.

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Buys played out great

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Trying to unload at least half of my position near 8000

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Got those sells below 8000.
Let's see if this ihas plays out

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Inverse head and shoulders played out perfectly.

Now that we are deep in green time to set a stop loss in profits and choose a target.
By now our SL is going to be at 6900
And also by now our take profit is going to be a 10500

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Let's see if this bull flag plays out.

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There is this

And also this

So once (if) we breakout this trendline fomo will kick in

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As suggested here i am expecting a bull trap, at least upto 12k, maybe even higher, before more blood.
twitter.com/criptomaniaweb/status/963005557895548928

I still target 10.5k with the remaining of this long, and i consider it a safe target for now.

Mainstream media is calling bottom, JPM is comparing btc/eth/xrp to regular bank transfers... this is the perfect "return to normal" enviroment. But there are so many people in loss (new buyers since november) that i dont believe we can get rid of them without MOAR panic

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In head and shoulders we trust.
Go, go, go Bitcoin!

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Looking good so far.
Raising that stop loss in profits to 7900.

交易结束:到达目标

And this is it. I hope you had fun.
From 6000 to 10500 :)

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nixholas
buddy u rekting noobs
pureinstinct
updates, new posts?
avinashpolepally
@bagofXMR do you see BTC going down now ?
bagofXMR
@avinashpolepally, potentially yes.
We face a strong reversal zone above 10900 and up to 12700. not worth being long here.
It is everything about risk reward. here you dont have a clear stop nor a clear target, and it is a strong reversal zone. some indicators are already signaling overbought and we are up 80% from bottom.
CoinDreamer
Very smart..;)
jimmy_
Curious how you measure your H&S targets? Most people do head to neckline, which would put target around 8800-9k
bagofXMR
@jimmy_, I measure th H&S target using the lowest point of the neckline retest and i ignore wicks IF necessary to adjust the neckline to the retest point. Then i do as everyone, i measure from lowest head to the neckline at connecting with right shoulder and place it from the lowest point of the retest.
bagofXMR
@bagofXMR, This is a conservative approach which I've been using long time since i used to miss targets. That is why i tend to use the "worst" version possible of the target.
bagofXMR
@bagofXMR, That is also why I wait for a succesful retest of neckline (bouncing off it and making a higher high) to decide which is my target.
jimmy_
@bagofXMR, Solid. Def also felt the burn after H&S not reaching target. Thanks for explaining
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