benxiong

等待4小时级别上的形态修复完成之后,再决定操作

做多
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特币
MA6 and MA18 are both now showing a bull trend, so, I think the market is still keeping on rising. But as we can see, the BTC price didn’t break through the resistance of Fibonacci 0.382 points. What factor stopped the price from rising? From May 23rd to June 9th, within 7000USTD-7750USTD, the density price fluctuations formed a resistance level, while the long power comes at this level, will face a huge short power. It is hard to see another long white to break through the resistance at this moment if the hesitators still stuck there. So, once they run away, the long side will take the crown.
Now swift to 4 hours Kline. As we can see since 0:00 on July 19th, the BTC price first time fell under MA6, it never went up above MA6. I guess it went into an adjustment area. At 4:00 on July 19th, Kline showed that the price would keep on falling, so short-term buyers can choose to sell now.
Now we draw a support line, based on MA18, and draw a resistance line based on MA6. If the trend keeps on going as it now does, the next resistance/support level will appear at 4:00 on July 20th, around 7323USDT. Please be careful at 7323USDT point, if BTC price goes above 7323USDT, the price will continue to grow with high probability. So, don’t hesitate to buy in after the price goes above 7323USDT.
However, if the price goes under MA18, 4 hours above level will face an even large adjustment. So, sell your holds at this moment.
日线级别上MA6和MA18保持多头形态运行,也就是说目前整个走势还是处于上涨形态之中,但我们也清楚的看到,币价在触及斐波拉契0.382分位的时候遇到了压力并未能直接突破过去,这是因为前期5月23日到6月9日在7000USDT—7750USDT有过半个月的平台震荡,这里形成了一个自然的成交密集区,主力在拉升至这里的时候,必定会受到较大的一个抛压,直接越过此位置需要的资金成本太高了,所以这里必须要有一个震荡洗筹的动作,需要将不坚定的筹码清洗出去,这样会对未来的上涨减轻不少的压力。
切换至4小时K线我们可以看到7月19日0:00币价首次跌破MA6之后,币价就再也没有越过MA6,走入了一个短线调整的态势,7月19日4:00的这根K线确认了跌破有效,所以短线操作的投资者应该在这里开始逢高卖出,降低仓位。
我们沿着现在的MA18做一条上涨通道的支撑线,再沿着MA6下行的斜率做一条压力线,大家就可以清楚的看到,如果币价调整的走势继续保持现在的速度不变,多空主要争夺的时间节点将会出现在7月20日4:00的7323USDT左右。也就是说如果按照现在速度不变最迟到了7月20日4:00,只要币价高过7323 USDT,上涨通道就没有被破坏,之前没进场的朋友可以选择在这里买入。如果币价跌破了MA18的这根趋势线,那么就相当于4小时级别上还会有更大级别的调整,持仓筹码可以在MA18这根趋势线上止盈离场。

免责声明

这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。