Looking back on BTC's peaks and troughs there is an interesting correlation between the number of months between each cycle high, months between each cycle low, and the time a bull market lasts. This time/cycle correlation is becoming more accurate as time goes on, which gives me an estimate when BTC will reaches its market top in the future. Also, how long the next bear market will last before the next cycle starts.
Peak to Peak - 47 Months
Trough to Trough - 47 Months
Length of Bull Cycle - 35 Months
Length of Bear Cycle - 12 Months
If this trend continues, the bull market would end roughly in October of 2025, and a bear market will last for about a year.
The RSI peaks an troughs also line up with each cycle top/bottom (with the exception Nov 2021 where there was major momentum divergence from price). There would be a high probability that overbought conditions are met roughly in Oct 2025 as well.
Peak to Peak - 47 Months
Trough to Trough - 47 Months
Length of Bull Cycle - 35 Months
Length of Bear Cycle - 12 Months
If this trend continues, the bull market would end roughly in October of 2025, and a bear market will last for about a year.
The RSI peaks an troughs also line up with each cycle top/bottom (with the exception Nov 2021 where there was major momentum divergence from price). There would be a high probability that overbought conditions are met roughly in Oct 2025 as well.
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免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。