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attgkd
Jan 18, 2021 4:50 AM

这周交易总结及下周趋势预测 做空

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

描述

在两周前还没上升至40000时,我抓了一次36000的回调进场,到了42000时乐观估计比特币会冲上5w,随后各种背离信号没有打醒我。直到1.11时才终于在4w左右平仓。

1.11那一天我试了3次抄底,分别在36500,33000,31000,全部止损。止损设在2.71%-5%左右。

但此时我仍然有之前的利润作为筹码。不过不敢进场,在那次8000刀的反弹里一直在等信号等回调入场,看着它涨上了40000。

之后三天又是震荡。理想入场点是32500左右。等不到,又无所事事了几天。

之后一个类加特利的形态出现,不过非常不完美。因此我没有做空(虽然后边还是回调在了34300)

再然后,头肩形态出现。于37000的时候我就有点想做空了。但我对比特币仍然长期看涨。希望它突破颈线后再空。后来果然突破。连续两次的信号可不好等,开了20倍做空。止盈到35000。

昨天,跌在34275这个支撑位之后。我认为支撑力度不小,可以做多,又开了10倍的杠杆做多。目标看到38000(这里是大三角区间的交点,未来的趋势怎么走就看它是否突破38000)
结果没有突破,于今天36800到顶,随后下跌。我早上在思考是否平仓,后来在36300左右平仓。并反手把得到了利润又做了一个空。目标看在34275,33100,31000三个止盈点

目前来看走势走出了一个很教科书的下跌行情,接着破的话估计能看到32000甚至更多。不过只要没到29000就没有必要看空,只不过破5w的时间从三周内变成两个月内罢了。月线图来看上涨趋势仍然完整。以上是这个月的总结
评论
attgkd
又在拉,,,这里我先在35400平空。接下来两天等信号,目前不适合进场
a74989189
@attgkd, Do you think it will break through 40K again
attgkd
@a74989189 If it doesn't fall below 29K, breaking out 40k or even 50k is almost certain
a74989189
@attgkd, However, according to the current trend, it is likely to continue to fall. If the bull market comes again, this is not clear. Maybe it may break through 40K or 50K but everything is unclear. Maybe it can go down to about 32K. Cover up
attgkd
@a74989189 In weekly chart, the 60/120 or even 20 days moving average haven't changed the trend. Unless you're a contract trader, you don't have to worry this. The $29000 bitcoin won't be available until on late February at least
a74989189
@attgkd, It fell below 28K in the early hours of yesterday morning, but now it continues to rise. The volatility at this time should be very fast. I hold Bitcoin very simple. I just rely on volatility to earn income. I buy when it falls and sell when it rises.
attgkd
@a74989189, 现在呢😉
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