TradingView
reimadara
Dec 1, 2017 4:42 AM

BTC Possible Distribution Phase at 10-11k 做多

Bitcoin / U.S. dollarBitstamp

描述

10k is a huge milestone for BTC thus making it a strong psychological resistance.

I'm seeing another possible breakout around 10-11k, but it is highly likely that the price will correct sharply from there (possibly down to 6-7k). The scenario could be similar to the sharp correction from 7800 to 5500 (see circles, boxes & arrows). At the very least a sideways correction may happen around 8.3k-11k.

The high volume profile around 9-11k area further affirms that this is a heavy take profit zone that may lead to a correction.

Alternatively, a possible huge blow off to 12k+ may still happen but highly unlikely in my opinion unless there is a huge fundamental drive (e.g. ETF being approved).

Overall, I'm bearish on BTC mid term as long as we do not see a strong daily open and close above 11k.

Already took heavy profits around 10-11k and looking to open a small short if we see a failed break out above 10k.

Note: Chart is on log scale.
评论
Monstar
Well done, I would agree on a correction but maybe higher than 8k as the price is exponential I think we could replace lines by curves to make it more accurate in my opinion.
reimadara
@Monstar, thanks. Agreed, 8000-8400 can be a strong support and BTC seems to be respecting the parabolic curve so far, that is why I'm so reluctant to short it.
更多