Traders I recommend reading this entire post so that you fully understand what I have done, and how I have came to my analysis.
EMC2/BTC looks like a compelling long opportunity. I love this set up so far!
After analyzing this pair, I discovered that price appears to be moving in patterns. Price seems to move up 5539 points, have a corrective move to the downside, and then move up again, around 5539 each time.
With this logic, I was able to predict and plot the next move on the chart. I have calculated each cycles move by measuring the amount of points it moved up before correcting. After I found there was an approximate 5539 point move before each correction, I was then able to replicate a cycle at around 5539 points to see the future direction of the instrument.
I am expecting an up move of 5539 which will complete at around 0.00012800. Below I have illustrated the calculations as to how I came to this conclusion.
The principle of the cycles being used here is that every time there is an up move, there is a corrective move, and then an up-move which exceeds the previous move by approximately 5539. With this information we can calculate (using cycles 1+2 data) where cycle 3 is likely to end up. Using the calculations below we can make a mathematical assumption as to where price will lead.
Following these calculations, we can expect a reliable up-move, using previous trend cycles to predict a reliable, yet conservative move.
Do remember that price may correct before cycle 3 initiates. So it is important that you watch this trade carefully before considering a position. I would also like to point out that there is a key side-wards resistance level at 0.00010000. Price needs to break this level and retest this level before Cycle #3 completes.
I will be posting updates on this trade below, so leave it a like or follow so that you can keep up to date with this analysis.
交易结束：到达目标
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As per the above analysis, Cycle #3 completed, and provided us with the nice move I was expecting.
Price reached target level, and is now correcting to the downside. When price completes the corrective move to the downside, we must be open to the possibility of a cycle #4.
When correction completes I will post more updates below.
评论
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I would just like to say well done to anyone who followed this idea on EMC2/BTC. I entered at around 0.00009175 and exited the trade at 0.00019700.
Price of the Crypto currency doubled in value in just 21 hours and we caught the entire move here!
I am glad you were all able to follow this trade with me. Congratulations to anyone who used this analysis to profit with me.
I am interestingly keeping the track your TA & FA and exciting by the movements of the graphs through you lines! Thank you Tom! You are teach me a lot since I follow you!
TomProTrader
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@kwarty, Thanks for your compliments. Glad my content is useful to you. I would really appreciate it if you could like all of my recent ideas.
kwarty
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Except the hardfork EMC2 there also an information that EMC2 and APPLE will have and agreement, may be in paying function or donations on 19th of December. Any bets should be make in the sense of price increasing or the news are rumours ?
TomProTrader
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@kwarty, I have already put my bets into this market. I believe the rumors with Apple have actually already been priced into this market and price shows as such.
Until 19th December, I would just assume that price will rally in an attempt to price in Apple. (Since if this is true AND happens, would be absolutely massive). Only when the raw fundamentals come out (as you mentioned above) come out, I will then reconsider my analysis with the new data.
SDCVoltaic
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wow this is really weird. Good catch
TomProTrader
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@SDCVoltaic, Thank you. We have nailed virtually every single currency we have analyzed on TradingView lately. Let's hope for more wins!