Technicals:
H&S top pattern
failed new ATH            

Fundamentals:
new ICO             projects slowing down
- decrease of demand for ETH through burn or forced hodl
- currently 40B built on ETH, which have caused a massiv demand for ETH
velocity of inflows into cryptos slowing down (aka speculators are drying out) (short-mid term, 6-24month)
交易开始: just to clarify I am short ETH/USD pair not BTC pair, ergo I am shorting ETH and BTC

the stoploss (SL) should be at the right shoulder (RS)

updated:
交易开始: looking good

also I read a interesting 2.order effect caused through the coming ICO/securities regulation today. It will decrease the demand for tokens and therefore demand for Ethereum extremly. Also token holders might want to wait after decisions are made and more certainty comes back. If that looks prospers then the scaling debate aka PoS or not is back on the table. I think there is soo much uncertainty awaiting for ETH that the it will be reflected in the price.

评论: better chart:

交易开始: just saw that the exchanges volume is highly dominated in USD (60% of all volume), therefore I need to set a target in USD terms. I will choose one that sits close to the last high and the followed month sideways trend.

target in USD
362$

target in BTC
5.1M sat
交易结束:到达目标: 362$ target reached, I close my position.
just saw that the exchanges volume is highly dominated in USD (60% of all volume), therefore I need to set a target in USD terms. I will choose one that sits close to the last high and the followed month sideways trend.

target in USD
362$

target in BTC
5.1M sat
回复
small fundamental thoughts/factors through twitter-reading
- quality of ICO's rapidly decreasing ( debatably a post mania phenomenon: https://twitter.com/chriscoins1/status/970021868311728128)
- ETH long awaited switch to POS very unlikely to happen / off-chain scalability highly debated

I have not listed any bull arguments aka risk, will try to find some different views in the next days
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