A great short opportunity. Strong "fresh" supply zone ahead.
Stuff to remember:
— First look for significant move, then follow it to its origins where you might find a suitable level to evaluate further
— Make sure the initial move is significant on the same timeframe as the one you use for viewing your candidate level most clearly
— Check the distance that price traveled before the trend ended, longer distances mean larger initial imbalances and improved probabilities in the future
— The strong initial move can contain a few small retracements but not so many that make this move slow and weak
— Avoid opposing levels on the same and immediately higher timeframes, prefer to have a clear road ahead for your trade to run
— Make sure your level is placed correctly (low for Demand, high for Supply) in relation to the big picture's important tops and bottoms
— Trading the first return of price to a valid "fresh" level carries the highest probabilities due to the larger imbalance
— A valid level is considered "fresh" if price has not returned to it since its creation. It has nothing to do with how old the level is
— Trading only the first return of price to a valid, properly evaluated level can greatly increase your win ratio. Trading second or other subsequent returns will only dilute your trading edge.
Thanks for your great analysis!
Here is my view on EUR/GBP if you are interested:
Based on Market Profile (volumes) and Price Action there are two very strong resist/support zones. If you look at the Cummulative volume on the right you can see two main volume areas. The higher one was formed by cummulation of short trades that went into a strong sell-off. If the price comes there again there is high probability that the sellers will become active again.
Support around 0.8544 is very strong because it lies exactly at at a place where the heaviest volumes of the day were created. From this place the price shot higher indicating strong buyers in this area.
If trading those levels be extra carefull and dont trade during strong GBP news.
If you are interested there are more Market profile swing and intraday analysis in my profile page. You are very welcome there!
Dale
ForexFitness
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you are right about this one heading back up, but it sure doesnt look like there is going to be any reversing in that .88 zone and it may just be a speed bump on the way back up to test .9000
tradewonk
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@KetogenicElijah, it depends on how big your target is. You can see how fast supply exceeds demand, so sellers are quite strong in that blue area and it have not been retested before, so if the price hits the blue area, it will most likely make a reverse. A obvious setup will be rr ratio 1:1.5/2 size of the blue area.
Here is my view on EUR/GBP if you are interested:
Based on Market Profile (volumes) and Price Action there are two very strong resist/support zones. If you look at the Cummulative volume on the right you can see two main volume areas. The higher one was formed by cummulation of short trades that went into a strong sell-off. If the price comes there again there is high probability that the sellers will become active again.
Support around 0.8544 is very strong because it lies exactly at at a place where the heaviest volumes of the day were created. From this place the price shot higher indicating strong buyers in this area.
If trading those levels be extra carefull and dont trade during strong GBP news.
If you are interested there are more Market profile swing and intraday analysis in my profile page. You are very welcome there!
Dale