CapMoore

Pre NFP analysis

FX:EURUSD   欧元/美元
96 0 6
The friday close was interesting because bulls managed to push price
to a close a few pips above the Kumo Cloud, which was the first time
since Sep 30, 2016. The devil is in the details, especially in technical
analysis. For me it signals bear weakness. The Monthly Pivot Point is
attracting price of course and it is still untraded at 1.0633.
Currently price is retracing towards the Weekly Pivot Point at 1.0583.

A good bullish scenario today or the coming few days would be for price
to test the Weekly Pivot Point , bounce and move to the Monthly PP. Then
with a dailly close above it we might see a sharper move up, with a clean
Kumo Cloud breakout signal in the back (with a bullish projected cloud).
There is also a bullish MACD cross brewing today, which may add fuel to
an upward move.

What clues can be found in the USDOLLAR             index?
Index attempted a false Kumo Cloud breakout and returned back into
bearish territory. Weekly and further down Monthly PP are still untraded,
thus chances are that these levels will be tested, and that is EURUSD             bullish .

NFP on friday may always dampen price action and is not ideal for commiting
trades. Best is to watch the mentioned levels and play any bounces.
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