The Real Interpretation
This chart is telling one story:
Money supply growth has massively outpaced real output for decades.
You don't fix this with “policy choices.”
You fix it with real wealth creation, which requires creditworthy borrowers — not printing.
Forward-Looking View
Unless:
That means:
It’s a classic late-cycle fiat symptom.
Here are questions to ask:
Perma Bulls, MMTers, Politicians etc.. can’t answer those without admitting the private-sector engine is weakening.
The less productive output per $ while the markets keep rising & rising will only produce less and less profit per share over time. No matter how much lipstick they put on that pig. Eventually, the economy & markets will CRASH! They always correct themselves in the end.
I got all that from just one chart? NO! The entire spectrum of data.
Here is one

THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
This chart is telling one story:
Money supply growth has massively outpaced real output for decades.
- It lines up perfectly with:
- Falling real productivity
- Stagnant wages
- Declining borrower quality
- Rising debt-to-GDP
- Asset inflation decoupling from fundamentals
- The economy shifting from productive borrowing → consumption and asset speculation
You don't fix this with “policy choices.”
You fix it with real wealth creation, which requires creditworthy borrowers — not printing.
Forward-Looking View
Unless:
- Productivity rises
- Real output accelerates
- Borrowers gain real income strength
- Capital flows into productive sectors instead of financial games…this ratio won’t materially rise.
That means:
- Every new dollar is buying less GDP
- Long-term growth potential is fading
- More money chasing fewer productive opportunities
- More fragility in the credit system
It’s a classic late-cycle fiat symptom.
Here are questions to ask:
- If “money creation” creates growth, why is GDP-per-dollar collapsing?
- Why did 40 years of money expansion not produce proportional GDP?
- If borrowers create loans, where are the new productive borrowers?
- Why did QE cause asset inflation but no sustainable GDP boost?
- If the system is “fine,” why does each new dollar buy less real output?
Perma Bulls, MMTers, Politicians etc.. can’t answer those without admitting the private-sector engine is weakening.
The less productive output per $ while the markets keep rising & rising will only produce less and less profit per share over time. No matter how much lipstick they put on that pig. Eventually, the economy & markets will CRASH! They always correct themselves in the end.
- Perma Bulls have no exit strategy and will go down with the boat!
- MMTers will want Gov to borrow and spend EVEN MORE! despite the empirical self-evident fact that print and play doesn't work!
- Politicians will borrow and spend even more, claiming they will "STIMULATE THE ECONOMY"
I got all that from just one chart? NO! The entire spectrum of data.
Here is one

THANK YOU for getting me to 5,000 followers! 🙏🔥
Let’s keep climbing.
If you enjoy the work:
👉 Drop a solid comment
Let’s push it to 6,000 and keep building a community grounded in truth, not hype.
Real Macro Economic Investing
patreon.com/Realmacro
patreon.com/Realmacro
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Real Macro Economic Investing
patreon.com/Realmacro
patreon.com/Realmacro
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供,也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。
