captain_smollett
做空

IBEX35. Unfinished spanish business

TVC:IBEX35   西班牙IBEX35指数
I normally don´t watch local TV but fortunately saw the news last week while I was having a lunch. Spanish GDP is growing 3.2% since last year and I heard almost the same words that I heard in 2007: we are in front of Europe, the crisis is behind... and else, and else, and else...

Just wanted to have a look at Ibex35 index, to see whether I missed some wonder or if somebody gave Spain several hundred Billion to restore the economy.

UNfortunately, I haven´t missed anything and the 22% of unemployment talks for itself.

From technical point of view, I can see a long-time H&S pattern which is still pending to be developed and drop spanish economy to the levels of the late 90s. And, in real numbers, to much lower than that because in late 90s there were no abysmal sovereign debt.

Talking about the numbers, I expect IBEX35 to raise back to 11.000 area that is where the Hagopian line is placed. This is a psicological value for those who follow the spanish market. Once there, their voices claiming the crisis is over will be heard from every bar: a classical situation with 80%+ of the bulls. We all know what market does when such a thing happen...

I would short IBEX35 from 10800 approximately, targeting as low as 3000 ish             by 2-3 years as much. And hope there will be a broker who would pay for such a big short.
ZH 简体中文
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 繁體中文
首页 股票筛选器 外汇信号搜索器 加密货币信号搜索器 财经日历 如何运作 图表功能 网站规则 版主 网站 & 经纪商解决方案 插件 图表库 功能请求 博客 & 新闻 常见问题 帮助 & 维基 Twitter
个人资料 个人资料设置 账号和账单 我的支持标签 联系支持 已发表观点 粉丝 正在关注 私人消息 聊天 退出