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quinzio
Feb 12, 2018 9:21 PM

I sketched a probable path for the next days 

US Composite IndexTVC

描述

I sketched a probable path for the next days
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quinzio
Future have been slightly rising tonight.
Today the Nasdaq Comp may open at 7200 with a gap up.
In my scenario that would be a quite long term top.
Consider that Febrary is at half (10 trading days to the end) so it could well be a good turning point.
Nasdaq rose 8% in 4 session from bottoms. That is a lot.
In my scenario it will test again the bottoms.

Let's see what it actually does.
quinzio
It looks like my idea was not really not so crazy.
Let's follow the markets into the close.

It all looks very weaks, although.
quinzio
The main idea is that something as a bear market has started. More than a correction.
The easiest thing it could do is a fake head'n'shoulder.
So if one is long, one should keep the left shoulder level or less as an exit point or a short entry.
Another test of the Friday bottom is due at least, IMO.
ricsalrod
...Based on what??
quinzio
@ricsalrod, The main idea is that something as a bear market has started. More than a correction.
The easiest thing it could do is a fake head'n'shoulder.
So if one is long, one should keep the left shoulder level or less as an exit point or a short entry.
Another test of the Friday bottom is due at least, IMO.
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