A nice opportunity to go short in NZDUSD in the medium term

FX:NZDUSD   纽元/美元
82 0 12
Fundamental Analysis:
My expectations for the NZD is neutral in the long term, three month after cutting rates the RBNZD are most likely to leave their monetary unchanged because they made a significant progress with the CPI             0.02%.For the USD my sentiment in the long term is bullish because the Fed's forecasts from their December meeting suggests that 3 rate hikes are likely in 2017 with Fed Fund futures prices suggesting the first of which is likely to be announced in June.
Sentiment Analysis:
By the data provided by the COT , the sentiment is neutral because the difference between the non-comercial (short and long) is very small.
Technical Analysis:
There is a bear 5-0 harmonic pattern with the Elliot wave theory.
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