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Johanes
Feb 6, 2019 3:32 PM

JLS NZDUSD Target Zone 0.6950-0.6250 做空

New Zealand Dollar/U.S. DollarFXCM

描述

Likely interesting to trade

评论

About 200 PIPs price falls and the expected turnaround time 4-6 weeks

评论

Trading position is managed to risk free by placing stop loss at entry rate, and the trade will be hold to target and/or to be closed by "tranche" as considered to be feasible

评论

I still target 0.6250 with multiple short trade tranches

评论

Short trade still active to target

评论

The CHF, JPY and EUR carry traders are carrying the NZD by driving the NZDCHF, NZDCHF and NZDEUR to upward and to slower the NZDUSD to downward.

However, their carry trading activity less likely will push NZDUSD to revisit the current upper ceiling 0.6950

评论

The AUDUSD and NZDUSD hammered down by their interest rate differentials to USD. It is expected to be followed by the GBPUSD and EURUSD to downward by their interest rate differentials to USD, and USDCAD, USDJPY and USDCHF to upward by their interestt rate differentials to USD.

At such, the current short/sell of NDUSD, AUDUSD, GBPUSD, EURUSD and the long/buy on the USDCAD, USDJPY and USDCHF will resume to follow their medium term exchange rate target zone trends.

However, risk remains to be seen from JPY and CHF carry traders but at lesser impacts on the prices.
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