Why a Donald Trump win is NOT a surprise

SP:SPX   标准普尔500指数
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There had been several models strongly pointing to a win of Donald Trump, as I had shared already 9 days ago:

Currently we are now in a wide and wild trading range where anything can happen the next days.
评论: 10 months ago I shared a long-term chart with a priced in risk scenario of a likely win of Donald Trump. I wrote:

"The trend trajectory for the DOW Industrial index is starting to get very bearish in the year 2017 at the latest. A time when Donald Trump might have become the next US president, which would strongly influence the world history. "

The link to my comment about Trump, which I posted 9 days on Tradingview didn't work. Maybe this time as short URL:

Summary: Forget polls. The best two models forecasting the election outcome - which yet again showed how reliable they are - were build by two different professors:

Helmut Norpoth
"His model successfully predicted all but one presidential election result for the past 100 years"

Allan Lichtman
"His system has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in every U.S. presidential election since 1984"
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