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iamthewolf
Sep 2, 2017 3:13 PM

SPX for week of 9/5/17: Butterfly and Bat meet Elliott Wave 做空

S&P 500 IndexTVC

描述

Interesting setup heading into 9/5/17 for SPX. The published mid-week (8/29) Elliott Wave is still in play as wave b extended beyond target of 2465 area to 2480.38. Still expecting wave c to start soon and looked to Gartley/Bat/Butterfly charts for validation.

Using all of Wave 5 from the mid-week update as "X - A" a Butterfly (Red) is traced to project possible wave c movement. Within the Butterfly the down leg (A - B) is used to start a separate Bearish Bat pattern (yellow) having a more rapid time frame.

Looking at eventual convergence of all three in 2410-2415 area in September.

交易开始

Exercising caution in event wave b is actually a new impulse wave (5). Added "case for the bulls" chart to site. If new wave, then short position will be terminated early with expected support at 2456.

交易开始

Closed short during 9/5/17 drop and switched long at 2451 target. However, this bat/butterfly remains the alternate if market moves down back below 2454/2446 area.

评论

Still Long, but this alternative is still in play. 9/6 close with support at 2467 could be b wave before further decline. However, looks like an impulse and up move with just a pause.

交易结束:到达目标

Closed Long near 2464 since 2467 proved stubborn. This original alternative has merit and will be reviewed with interest in a revised Bat target.
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