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Mirandole
Aug 11, 2015 1:07 PM

2007 pre-crash : Psychology of Diamond Top on #SPX500 #SPY 做空

S&P 500 index of US listed sharesFXCM

描述

« The crash site (downtrend end) is often near the price level of the launch site (uptrend start). » T. Bulkowski

Just to notice on the S&P 500 daily scale we've got a rare chart pattern : a diamond top.

In the case of a diamond top, the psychology of this pattern is characterized by the double indecision of symmetrical broadening. In fact, broadening highlights the increased volatility
unable to sustain the upward trend in the long term. The bullish forces diminish and shares change hands to go from majority stockholders in the market to less informed stockholders.
After a period of euphoria and the market enter in a period of uncertainty. This is materialized in significant oscillations of the course. The output of this chart pattern has a high probability (80%) to reverse down the last upward trend.

An example of Diamond Top on SPX500, 2007 pre-crash period :

评论
Mirandole
An example of Diamond Top on SPX500, 2007 pre-crash period :

tst
nice work that's some prediction you got right there. amazing click and play with 3 targets hit.
Mirandole
Thank you tst !

I work hard to be able to give some more good ideas like this.

Best regards,
Julien
JPMorgains
Wow what an epic call…kudos.
Mirandole
It was a lucky trade indeed.
Thank you Morgains !

Regards
JPMorgains
Hat tip!
greenplay
Very nice chart. Reached all 3 targets in a very short time period. How do you see the next price pattern?
greenplay

Is the downward correction of SPX500 yet over?
Mirandole
Hi Greenplay !

Thank you for your comment. Is the downward correction over ? How do I see the next price pattern ? For now I really don't know. I may publish a chart if I do.

Best Regards,
Julien
greenplay
Thank You very much Julien. I like your chart study. Will pay close attention in future :)
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