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IvanLabrie
May 19, 2017 3:30 PM

SPY: Update and long term forecast 做多

SPDR S&P 500 ETF TRUSTArca

描述

We're long SPY, from yesterday's lows, aiming to ride the long term uptrend for as long as possible from here onwards. The signal we had was one of a major market bottom, so there is a significant chance that we don't see drawdown going forward, and just a steady trend. The weekly trends show very interesting signals, with confluence of a downtrend's time running out, while a new weekly uptrend signal can confirm next week, and while longer term trends are at play, implying upside can be quite steady and significant for a long time.

Best of luck,

Ivan Labrie.

评论

One more week left for the rally in SPY, then it could correct for 10 weeks
We will hedge our portfolio next week.

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And hedged, closed longs. Shorted ES futures.



There's a distinct chance we see a significant correction now.

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SPY can drop 5.08% from the top during the next 7 weeks
We will monitor the action to enter longs at the bottom.

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I think the correction might have bottomed. Let's wait and see...since sentiment recovered, I started buying back into hedges, after going long quality names at the bottom.

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Read my updates here:

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This is a great forecast for now, looks viable.

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See the 2 month timeframe post for updates.
评论
1030fx
I figure the correction will start when DAX completes the H&S and GAP fills. That should make all US Index's drop. My opinion....
IvanLabrie
@1030fx, DAX looks risky for sure...let's wait and see. I have some hedges already, but I'll also look for short candidates and add to metals. Profit in the long positions is very good, so, better safe than sorry.
coolingla
Good job Ivan! You certainly have some distinct talent in trading!
zhsloe
What do you think about VIX being so low? As I see it, if the rally is to start, it needs to be in the next weeks and if that happens, VIX is going to be like... 5-6 before September? I mean, is it possible? :D
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