TradingView
AlfredTang
Mar 11, 2018 4:08 PM

Short USDCAD 做空

U.S. Dollar/Canadian DollarFXCM

描述

USDCAD looks like it could keep going down for the coming week.

Long-term trend is up, but it looks like it's hit the 1.2900 cap, couldn't break it, and has a solid downward day candle coming down from 1.2900.

Supporting news: Mixed NFP on 9 March with high employment change but lower earnings than expected (with an already lower forecast), relatively better CAD news with better-than-expected unemployment rate and positive (lower than expected) employment change.

MACD looks good for this trade on H4 and D1.

This trade would be 1:1 for risk:reward ratio, but may still be worth considering because it seems likely to keep going down to 1.2673 as it did before in October, November, and December 2017.
评论
JinDao_Tai
couldnt break and bounced off 1.2820
hallmark of a countertrend trade...looks like its gaining strength, then big reverse
AlfredTang
@Jin_LCMSTraders, Yeah. Couldn't have predicted what Poloz would say either, in marketwatch.com/story/canadian-dollar-slips-on-boc-gov-polozs-dovish-sounding-speech-2018-03-13

Question, though. If it comes back down below 1.2900, would you still consider this idea or would you be more cautious and avoid trading USDCAD for the time being?
JinDao_Tai
@AlfredTang, nah,i wouldnt be looking to sell it anymore, given how strongly it bounced off that support
更多