lyl89
做空

USOIL - Head and Shoulders Pattern Completed

TVC:USOIL   WTI 原油差价合约
How to spot a head and shoulders pattern :

Step 1: Uptrend
The very first part of a head and shoulders pattern is the uptrend. This is the extended move higher that eventually leads to exhaustion.

Step 2: Left shoulder
The market moves down to form a higher low. At this point, things are starting to come together, but we don’t quite have enough to draw the neckline.

Step 3: Head
Now that the left shoulder has formed, the market makes a higher high which forms the head. But despite the bullish rally, buyers are unable to make a substantially higher low.

Step 4: Right shoulder
The right shoulder is where things come together. It’s an indication that buyers are tiring and that the market may be gearing up for a reversal.
As soon as the right shoulder begins, we have enough to start plotting the neckline.

Step 5: Neckline
Now that we have a defined head and two shoulders we can draw neckline support. This level will become a key component when we get into how to trade the breakout.

In addition to the above steps :
- Trend line support has been broken
- RSI is below 50

How to trade this pattern :
  • Open a position when the price breaks through the neck line
  • Place a stop loss order above the right shoulder
  • Price target for the formation is equal to the depth of the neck line to the head of the formation
交易开始: Shorted at 52.524, will continue to monitor trade.
评论: Shifted SL to breakeven.
交易手动结束: Strong CAD data followed by weak US data gave rise to USOIL, trade closed at breakeven.
评论: Congrats for those who held on the trade, TP should hit any moment.
I was too conservative for this trade due to the news.
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