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Nov 14, 2017 10:14 PM

VIX: Short 做空

CBOE Volatility IndexCBOE

描述

On Tuesday November 14th US tockmarkets open with a sharp sell off.

The Dow Jones Industrial Index lost 168 points and reversed mostly all intraday losses.

The DJIA endet on intraday highs.

VIX and DJIA showing simultanious reversal pattern indicating new all time highs for stockmarkets and vice versa new all time lows for the VIX. Target by end of 2017 is below 9.

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SENTIMENT VIEW: AAII SENTIMENT SURVEY

29,3 % bullish
35,4 % neutral
35,2 % bearish

AAII Sentiment Survey:
Pessimism has fallen by 10.0 percentage points over the past two weeks and is now at its lowest level since mid-September. aaii.com/sentimentsurvey

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Any rise above 2.580 would eliminate a possible head and shoulders pattern, wich is probalby widely expected to be completed soon. Any break above 2.586 would cause SL orders on shortpositions.

Even US Indices just fallen by a narrow maring of 1,5% some indicators showing clearly that bears are back:

- Sentiment Indicators such as CNN.com Fear&Greed ("36", few points above "extreme fear")
- Bloomberg Fear Greed Indicator
- Cboe.com Intraday Put Call Ratios (at year high)
- Vix(@14,00)

Indicators above indicating a sharp short sqeeze if ever SPY rising above 2.600. This resist is not more fare a way than just a few points compared with the current levels.

Sources/Links:

S&P-500 Bears Are Back
Technical indicator flashes strongest ‘fear’ signal since August
bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-11-15/s-p-500-bears-are-back
money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/
ycharts.com/indicators/total_putcall_ratio

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VIX below 11 now: VIX dropped by 6,9% to 10,65.

评论

VIX dropped below 10 now. Past weeks rise to 14 generating now upsidemomentum for Xmas rally.

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交易结束:到达目标

VIX closed at 9.60.

交易结束:到达目标

Target allmost reached. Trade closed on profit taking.

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VIX: New All Time Lows
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