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LewisGlasgow
Mar 18, 2017 3:14 PM

XAU/USD - Bearish Bat (Continuation) 做空

GoldOANDA

描述

Following up from my prediction over 2 months ago with XAU/USD which resulted in a move from $1249 to $1198 (chart shown below), I'm now looking to get back in to continue the move lower.



Price has hit in between the 50% and 61.8% retracement, exactly where the D point of the bearish bat pattern has formed.

The measurements for a valid bat pattern are detailed below.
B: 0.382 - 0.50
C: 0.382 - 0.886
D: 1.618 - 2.618
Final X to D: 0.886

Taking into consideration one of my other charts (shown below) indicating a potential lower low in the market, price has now hit the daily trendline at $1233 right on the D point of the bearish bat pattern.



All round this is an excellent trading opportunity with over 1:4 risk to reward.

交易开始

Price broke the trendline (chart shown below) and has now retraced before continuing the move lower.



I'll be going short from this level.

订单已取消

Unexpected volume in the market, small loss onto the next one :)
评论
Tintin101
Nice chart work and clear reasoning. Congrats.
DO you think the miners will follow lower? (GDX, GDXJ)?
Thanks
LewisGlasgow
@Tintin101, thank you very much! Yes GDX looks as if it will follow.
RandomDane
Thanks for sharing!
LewisGlasgow
@RandomDane, you're welcome, thanks for the support!
trajkovic
Down towards ominouss 1075. WTI rise toward 51 may take us all by surprise.
LewisGlasgow
@trajkovic, I'm expecting a drop to $1088 in the future... It may do :)
TomWhitbread
For trading gold is better to consider the SMA 200, SMA 50 and DXY imo
LewisGlasgow
@TomWhitbread, thanks for sharing :)
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