cacus

GOLD outlook and scenarios

FX:XAUUSD   黄金/美元
I'm just playing here a bit. Trying to model the possible scenarios.
Both, using past volatility and through some sort of Elliot Wave analysis.

It appears we are in a forming WAVE 1 (expansion), or could be a WAVE 3 from last climb.
Also, we might be entering a ABCDE pattern, triangle or compression pattern.
Let's see how it evolves.
I'm long, of course, follow the trend.
评论: I forgot to say that given the price suggested at the top of the EW analysis, it would mean a 9% net gain for gold for the first half of the year, so, if it finally follows this plan, the second half of 2018 could imply a correction to keep things on balance, but since last year we got a 12% gain in gold price, it is easily doable given that inflation is rising since 2015 (and see what the trend of gold has been since)...
Cheers.
Hi cacus ,Wave 3 u have as the smallest , not that it matters but i thought the rules was wave 3 is often the longest never the shortest ? im a EW noob so just wondering
回复
Sharecrazy Sharecrazy
@Sharecrazy, i see the other post now :)
回复
cacus Sharecrazy
@Sharecrazy, yeah, it is called diagonal expansion. It is a mod from original impulse wave. I can't say it is good for a signal, but it applies for analysis of previous movements. Same with triangle ABCDE (12345).
回复
ZH 简体中文
EN English
EN English (UK)
EN English (IN)
DE Deutsch
FR Français
ES Español
IT Italiano
PL Polski
TR Türkçe
RU Русский
PT Português
ID Bahasa Indonesia
MS Bahasa Melayu
TH ภาษาไทย
VI Tiếng Việt
JA 日本語
KO 한국어
ZH 繁體中文
AR العربية
首页 股票筛选器 外汇信号搜索器 加密货币信号搜索器 财经日历 如何运作 图表功能 网站规则 版主 网站 & 经纪商解决方案 插件 图表库 功能请求 博客 & 新闻 常见问题 帮助 & 维基 Twitter
个人资料 个人资料设置 账号和账单 我的支持通知 联系支持 已发表观点 粉丝 正在关注 私人消息 聊天 退出