Invezted

Stock Picking , Index>Group>Stock > strongest vs. weakest

AMEX:XLV   SPDR Select Sector Fund - Health Care
3
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First Compare the Index , with its Groups , watch wich groups are acting stronger or weaker then the overal market
then go into that group and look for the weakest/strongest stock , to take a trade on

if a group acts stronger then the overall market, pick a strong stock within that group
if a group acts weaker then the overall market , pick a weak stock wihin that group

One of the best indications of the future course of a group or a stock its comparative strength
when the rest of the market is weak, or its comparative weakness in a strong market.


James R. Keene used to say:
"Watch the stock that shows strong resistance to pressure when the market is weak,
and buy those stocks for all you are worth.

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Looking at the SP500 and its recent selloff , we can see that the XLP responds the most ie XLP acts weaker then the overal market.

compared to the XLU which doesent quite responds that well to the sellof ie. XLU acts stronger then the overall market.

XLV doesnt quite react well on the rallies in the overall market and is way off its highs , ie. XLV is acting weaker aswell

lets compare XLU vs. SP500 side by side , to show you what i mean:

XLU was stronger then SP500 over the course , and played a big role on the advance of the overall market

A.) the low at A has been taken out on the SP while XLU made a higher low (strong)
B.) as XLU topped out the SP stayed on its high and formed a range
C.) while SP and XLU found support , the SP dropped through that support while XLU held support (strong)

now as XLU was taking a leading role in the strenght of the overall markets m it may verywell be the case that we are just in a resting spell , and XLU may return to its strenght and push higher , pulling the SP along the way

so we dig into XLU and find stocks which act strong and are about to move , soonest fastest and furthest

first Stock XEL

XLU , stays within its upchannel near the demandline while XEL picked up momentum and bounced off the "mean"

more in comments....


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