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profprof
Nov 14, 2016 6:47 AM

Bounce in Bonds? TLT ZN!1 TBT  

10-Year T-Note FuturesCBOT

描述

Bonds usually bounce after huge sell offs
before continuing to sell off. 2013 multi week sell off had
mid week bounces to roughly 50% of previous week's range.
good spot to buy some longer dated calls (dec?) at 126'235
for a bounce next week to around high 127s or low 128s+.
RSI lowest in years, closed 4 days outside lower BB, very oversold.


good statistical probability. however, might fail due to unprecedented political climate and china dumping
评论
vonLuftwaffle
I say this time is different because of FRB rate hike. What do you think?
profprof
@vonLuftwaffle, no clue anything is possible. I think rate hike has been priced in
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