A graph showing the commercials (part of COT-data) positioning in relation to its own range, X periods back. I usually choose the look-back period to equal approximately one year. This will be around 52 on a weekly chart and 250 on a daily chart.
In my opinion a high data-point for the commercials is bullish and vice versa. But instead of only looking att absolute values I now look more at how the commercials are positioned compared to the previous 12 och 6 months.
Example: a) if COT-index range = 0.8, then the commercials are in the 80th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has only been more bullish 20% of the time and more bearish 80% of the time.
b) a) if COT-index range = 0.5, then the commercials are in the 50th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 50% of the time and more bearish 50% of the time.
c) if COT-index range = 0.2, then the commercials are in the 20th percentile for this specific look-back period, i.e. the commercials has been more bullish 80% of the time and more bearish 20% of the time.
In other words, a high reading is bullish and a low reading is bearish.
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Updated version
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*Updated*
Script showing positioning as reported by the commitment of traders (COT) report, as before.
Whats updated: 1. COT Index - The COT index shows the net commercial positioning, relative to its own range the last x periods. A high value (default: >80 in a 24 week period) indicates that the net commercials are accumulating long positions. <20 has the same interpretation, but for short positions.
The COT index can basically be interpreted as a percentile, where 100 is the longest, and 0 is the shortest, net positioning the commercials has had for the given period (default 24 weeks).
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*Updated the default settings* - Note that most lines has to be unticked in order to properly display the COT Index.
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*Updated defaults and visuals* - All COT data lines, not used to interpret the COT Index, are not displayed by default. - Color opacity is lowered for the COT Index zones.