Megacap technology stocks like Apple have dragged on the market amid disruptions in China. But what if the iPhone giant manages to bounce? Could it give the bigger indexes a boost?
The main pattern on today’s chart is the $140 level. This price first had importance on November 8, when AAPL first tried to rebound from its China-related weakness. It was resistance that day, but provided support two sessions later (after November 10’s lower-than-expected consumer inflation report).
AAPL proceeded to jump as high as $153.59 the following week. It then hit the falling trendline along the highs of August and October. Prices eased back to the downside, only to bounce at $140 last week and again this week.
During that time investors have endured a barrage of negativity as firms like Morgan Stanley and Credit Suisse cut iPhone production estimates. That may create an environment where lots of bad news is priced in, with the potential for relief rallies if conditions improve.
Price action is also squeezing in a potentially important way because the falling trendline and support at $140 create a narrowing triangle. Traders may watch for AAPL to break out of this pattern either to the upside or downside.
Bollinger Bandwidth shows how the range is tightening. It only adds to the potential drama into the big events next week like consumer prices on Tuesday and the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday.
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