Short the Australian dollar is crowded trade at the moment
Data showed that Australia’s monthly CPI indicator stood at 3.4% in February 2024, unchanged from the previous two months and missing forecasts for a slight increase to 3.5%.
Last week, the Reserve Bank of Australia kept its cash rate at a 12-year high of 4.35%, pausing rates for the third straight meeting.
Australia might lower rates earlier than the US, due to a weaker data Vs the US. The AUD/USD pair is expected to remain in a bearish bias sentiment
Externally, the US dollar strengthened on growing expectations that US rates could remain higher for longer even as other major economies start easing policy.