BTC - Next year 6 months LONG!

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Hello Tredars, the next few weeks I expect movement between Tenkan and Kijun on a weekly basis. If not before, then at the latest in December (or January), SMA 50 could be reached and act as a support, which, if confirmed, would lead to higher prices within 6 months.
TP is at 16912 & 17169.
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Note that Monthly chart still shows the red cloud - here we see the boundary at 10028 and on a daily basis we also see 2 factors that have a bearish accent:
1. the cloud is red
2. as long as Tenkan stays below the SMA 50 it remains bearish

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As an alternative, here is the chart from the 23rd of June
BTC caught in the "December MATRIX"?!?
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9617.8 reached!
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More weak until the first week of October.
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BITSTAMP
weekly = green cloud... therefor this scenario could be possible too.
See my chart BITSTAMP, down, in the comment section.
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Trend Analysis

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