Morteza-Emzajerdi

BTCUSD: Long-term Portfolio Plan for holders

做多
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   比特币
1. Technicals (A Productive Approach):
1.1. The Degree of Growth increases "gradually".
1.2. Elliot Waves are considered Productively & not Reactively. Time & Price distortions are quite possible. Future is uncertain.
1.3. Best "Long-term Entry", now on, would be in between $17 - 24K. So, it is an estimation, or approximation.
1.4. Dubious, but highly probable: a bounce from $23.7 - 27K can be started fluctuating & not directly to $80K.
1.5 From "Pattern Analogy" between Last Cycle & this ongoing one, I would set targets at $100 - 130K.
1.6. Presently there is no vivid divergence between Price Chart & RSI (14). As a result, correction can be Mid-term (70-90) which has already been started about 3 weeks ago.
1.7. Divergence between Price & RSI (14) in Weekly Timeframe can be the simplest Exit Signal.
1.7 Four Bases of Growth could be deemed based on Harmonic Patterns. But, they are just patterns & reality can go to extremes. Well! Then, the 1st was finished some 3 weeks ago. There are 2 or 3 more Bases for Growth.

2. Fundamentals:
2.1. BTC is getting mature & performs more Technical & more kind of a stock.
2.2. Production increases Supply by higher prices & decreases its' Demand. Higher prices do rise Supply. More supply from Firms happens while prices are higher.
2.3. More eagerness from people can cause serious decisions from governors - specifically by the US state due do Money Absorption which was previously headed to Forex & such markets & now is shifting to this industry.

3. Portfolio Management (Personal Opinion Only):
3.1. Exit about $100K - 70%
3.2. Exit about $ 130K - 30%

Important Note: It is a totally personal IDEA. Not for serious investment. Not adoptable & advisable or suggestable to those who are not familiar with Financial Markets.

Let me know what is your feedback.
Thanks for reading.

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