We're likely at a local top now, at least if you compare the timing to the acculmulation time after the Halving Run 1 and Halving Run 2 crashes. Around this time, there were also local tops from HR1 and HR2 accumulation times. As a bonus, Volume is also showing signs of starting to cool down.
A drop to 25-35K is likely if you compare it to the 20% and 50% drop of post HR1(purple) and HR2(blue) crashes in the local scope. With local scope I mean price action related to all 3 post HR price range-normalized crashes.
I personally believe a drop to 30-35K is more likely than a drop to 25K as this was the result of the corona crash in February 2020 which should have been a little bit more severe than without the outbreak of the pandemic.
I expect us to go with a price around of 35K into the halving run which should reach 80-170K by the end of 2025. With me expecting near zero interest rates in 2025 this could go much much further, but one cannot forsee the future.