Crypto-Swing

Bitcoin - A needed correction or something worse?

做多
COINBASE:BTCUSD   比特币
Multiple rejections at the 1D 100MA (light blue line) saw a break in the multi-week RSI support line and a cascading price drop of almost 20% in 4 days. All the way down to the bottom of the rising channel, until finding a strong support level at $20.7k.

Price has since bounced a little back above $21k, but with strengthening bearish momentum seen in the MACD. For any chance of the bullish case being realised, price needs to assertively reclaim the 1D 50MA at around $22.4k, otherwise it will be subjected to the oppressive influence of this important indicator sitting on top of it.

On a bright(ish) note, though, is that the RSI is so low that any sustained sell-off seems improbable. However, the potential for a brief spike lower, perhaps to a double bottom, still certainly exists.

Unless, of course, you agree with my Elliott Wave count and this was just a necessary correction for further advancement.

What do you think?

- Is price still moving upward within the rising channel?
- Will we see a brief but sharp fall towards a double bottom?
- Or is price about to collapse below $14k?


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