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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 2-hour timeframe

General Overview of Price Action:
Current Price: Bitcoin is trading around $60,832, which shows a slight downward movement.

Support and Resistance Zones:
  • Resistance Levels: The chart highlights two important resistance levels:
  • $64,471 (marked as previous resistance).
  • $67,616 (higher resistance, likely from a previous major swing high).


Support Levels:
  • The current price is near $60,000, which has seen significant volume activity in the past (based on the volume profile).
  • Below that, the next key level of support is around $55,000.


Volume Profile (VRVP):
  • The Volume Profile shows that most trading activity occurred around the $60,000 range. This indicates that it’s a high-volume node (HVN), which typically acts as strong support or resistance.
  • Lower Volume Area (LVA): There’s a drop-off in volume below $60,000, meaning if the price breaks below this level, it could move quickly to the next volume support level around $55,000.


RSI (Relative Strength Index):
  • The RSI is currently showing a reading of 27.41, which is oversold (below 30). An oversold condition suggests that the price is likely due for a short-term bounce or reversal.
  • Previous dips into oversold territory (RSI below 30) have resulted in temporary price recoveries. This suggests that Bitcoin might be reaching a local bottom.


Potential Scenarios and Entry Points:

Bullish Scenario (Rebound from Support):
  • Entry Point: Since Bitcoin is at the $60,000 support level (a high-volume node) and the RSI is oversold, this could be a good entry point for a long position.
  • Rationale: The combination of strong support, high trading volume at this price, and the oversold RSI suggests that the price could rebound from this level.
  • Targets: If the price rebounds, you could target the next resistance levels around $64,471 and $67,616.
  • Stop-Loss: A stop-loss could be placed just below the $60,000 support, around $59,000, to protect against a downside break.


Bearish Scenario (Breakdown Below Support):
  • If Bitcoin breaks below the $60,000 level with strong volume, it could quickly fall toward the next support zone around $55,000, as indicated by the lack of volume in between these levels (low-volume area).
  • Entry Point for Short: If there’s a confirmed breakdown below $60,000, a short position could be taken, targeting $55,000 for a quick profit.


Conclusion:
Current Bias: Slight Long based on the oversold RSI and strong support at $60,000. This makes it an attractive entry point for a potential bounce.

Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance Levels: $64,471, $67,616.
  • Support Levels: $60,000, $55,000.


Risk Management: If entering a long position at $60,000, consider placing a tight stop-loss around $59,000 to minimize downside risk if the support fails.




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