Dawnchorus

Long BTC - triangle break, golden pocket confluence.

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Dawnchorus 已更新   
COINBASE:BTCUSD   比特币
BTC broke from the symmetrical triangle like structure. We could maybe see a move up to 52k, although 48.5k is more likely to test the 20 week MA. There is nice confluence at 52k with the golden pocket.

Keep your stop pretty tight I'd say.

This is a nice place to long at the downtrend break IMO.

Thank you!
评论:
keep in mind that the downtrend may be viewed like this, too - but the candlestick closes within the last 12 hours are making me optimistic. The MAs are also making me optimistic, but they are merely an indicator to add to what you are seeing with price action.
评论:
Also a slight possibility of visiting 34k before going higher. Just to show you the potential risk on the table. Protect yourself accordingly.
评论:
It really does still look weak on the lower timeframes - I was optimistic about the pattern break, but the S/R zone that we still need to initially establish is just above around 38k.
交易开始:
Still lower highs - the trendline can be viewed like this. Unfortunately no true local downtrend break right now.
订单已取消:
I don't think that we get the recovery rally right now. This is probably going to get stopped out.
交易开始:
Taking another stab at resistance. We shall see what happens here. If we can bounce off the top of this downtrend/support, we may see this nice recovery rally.
交易开始:
So as the triangle appears now - it would be a 30% move - which goes to about the 20 week MA.
交易开始:
Looking like a good chance of bullish continuation
交易开始:
If they retrace this - I think that 36k-37k would be good entry.
交易开始:
hip hip hooray - already struggling at the .382, 37k needs to hold if we come down, IMO. This is BTC, though, volume and strength can come pretty sudden.
交易开始:
same price action - so maybe we do pump from here
交易开始:
but more biased toward back down to 33k first.
交易手动结束:
I would probably take profit - or follow with your stop pretty tight - I think we head back down to 33k. I will re-open this if I see anything changing.
评论:
One bullish thing for right now is that the previous downtrend did act as support. Hard saying if we test the bottom again first or not.
交易开始:
OK - I'm keeping my long open - if it gets stopped out, it does. I will keep this idea open because we did bounce off of the top of the previous downtrend. We did hold 37k. I'm skeptical about us going bullish from here, though - may need to still retest the lower 30ks.
交易结束:到达止损:
This was obviously a stopped out trade. It worked alright if you got good entry.
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