Sparkster

Ichimoku Indicator Poised For Bitcoin Breakout

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COINBASE:BTCUSD   比特币
This analysis uses 'crypto settings' for Ichimoku which basically double the settings to 20, 60, 120, 30. This produces a less volatile indicator and lowers risk of false breakouts.

  • As we can see, the cloud is very thick, suggesting that price would have a hard time declining through that cloud. That is, the cloud is providing strong support.
  • We can also see the moving average line on both sides of the cloud have flat lined. So to have the tinken-san and kijun-san lines (red and blue) that have near enough converged.

We are now looking for a turn upwards in any of those lines to suggest an upwards move in price.

  • MACD histogram is about to cross back above the zero level suggesting that upwards momentum is building.
  • The past 3 days of price action is positive, with yesterday's candle showing a rejection of entering the cloud.

What to look for: What may happen is a negative cross-over of the tinken-san line (blue) dropping below the kijun-san line (red) briefly, perhaps for a day or two, and then re-emerging above. This would be a strong indicator for price continuation upwards.

Note: If price drops into the 1-day cloud then our previous longer-time frame analysis of a 15-25% drop comes into play.


May you live in interesting times.


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