Bitcoin's 16 year cycle

9月13日

Since inception, Bitcoin have been doing 4-year cycles matching with it's halving cycle.

The pattern have been 3 years bull market followed by a 1 year bear market.

So far there have been 3 of these 4-year cycle.

We posit that the last 4 year cycle will be the reverse.

1 year bull market follow by a 3 years bear market.

Note: The Dotcom Bubble had a similar 16 year cycle.

9月13日

注释

For this chart pay attention to the x-axis (Time). Time is more important here.

The essence of this chart doesn't change with log scaling. I use linear to give the present time higher precedence.

11月7日

交易手动结束

Didn't work on. March 2024 was not the TOP.