Bearish Pressure Could Push BTC to $58K

2024年8月9日

Overview:
Bitcoin has encountered significant selling pressure near the $62,000 region, leading to a potential shift in market sentiment. The current price action suggests a retracement, and the formation of a bearish Luftwing candle structure on the 4-hour chart adds weight to the possibility of further downside.

Key Levels to Watch:

Resistance: $62,796
Support: $59,392
Target: $58,000

Price Action:
After attempting to break above the $62,000 resistance, BTC was met with strong selling pressure at $62,796. This level has now established itself as a critical resistance zone, with multiple rejections indicating that the bulls are struggling to maintain momentum. The price has since retraced, finding temporary support at $59,392. However, this support level is under threat as the bears gain control.

Technical Indicators:

Bearish Luftwing Candle Structure: The 4-hour chart reveals a bearish Luftwing candle structure. This pattern, while uncommon, is known for signaling a potential reversal or continuation of a bearish trend. The formation suggests that the current downtrend may intensify, pushing prices lower.

Volume Analysis: There has been a noticeable increase in selling volume as the price approached the resistance level, further confirming the bearish sentiment in the market.

RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart has begun to turn downward from the overbought territory, indicating that the momentum may shift in favour of the bears.

Market Sentiment:
The market sentiment appears to be turning bearish, as evidenced by the inability to break above key resistance levels and the formation of bearish structures on the chart. Traders are advised to be cautious as the potential for a move towards $58,000 grows stronger.

Potential Scenarios:

Bearish Continuation: If the price breaks below the $59,392 support, we could see a rapid decline towards the $58,000 target. This scenario is supported by the bearish Luftwing pattern and the overall market structure.

Rebound Possibility: On the flip side, if the support at $59,392 holds, we might witness a temporary rebound. However, the upside may be limited by the strong resistance at $62,796, where sellers are likely to step in again.

Conclusion:
Bitcoin is at a critical juncture, with the next few trading sessions likely to determine its short-term direction. The formation of the bearish Luftwing candle structure on the 4-hour chart suggests that a move towards $58,000 is on the cards. Traders should monitor the key support and resistance levels closely and be prepared for increased volatility as the market reacts to these technical signals.

2024年8月11日

注释

we can see that price retest the lufwing cande open price before pushing to the downside. The market has been consolidating for the past 2 days without any serious momentum to the up/downside. This clearly shows that the bitcoin price is hugely impacted by the stock and currency market[this is for those who believe crypto is independent].

Technically, i expect the bitcoin price to drop to 54k. We can see the formation of the bearish luftwing candle on the daily timeframe. i posted the chart earlier you can go ahead and cross-check. This luftwing candle indicates the drop of price and a bear market