I think the first scenario will be a short-term regression and then a challenge to the top of the rising channel. But it's not very positive because the volume of transactions is decreasing. We just need more trading to make a great rise. Let's wait and see what happens when the Ichimoku cloud patch gets thinner.
This post is just for study and back-testing of my trade. Does it matter if it's going long or short? No, it's most important not to lose.