BTC/USDT:Distribution with Bearish Rising Wedge (False Breakout)
In this analysis, Bitcoin appears to be in a distribution phase, as described by the Wyckoff Method, coupled with a Bearish Rising Wedge pattern, which suggests potential downside ahead. Here’s a breakdown of the key points:
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Climax:
The Buying Climax (BC) marked the peak of the upward momentum, where buyers exhausted their strength.
Automatic Reaction (AR):
After the BC, the price saw a sharp correction, defining the lower boundary of the range.
Secondary Test (ST):
The price revisited the range high, confirming the resistance zone and showing weakness at the upper levels.
Upthrust:
A false breakout above the resistance zone trapped buyers, further supporting the distribution narrative.
Bearish Rising Wedge:
The price action formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish continuation pattern. A breakdown below the wedge could trigger a move towards the $82,000 support zone.
Possible Scenario:
Breakdown Confirmation:
A breakdown from the wedge combined with increasing sell volume could lead to a sharp decline.
Target Zone: The immediate target lies around $83,000, with potential further downside if the distribution phase completes.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $94,000 - $93,500 (false breakout zone).
Support: $82,000 (range low).
**Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for **educational and informational purposes only** and does not constitute a recommendation for trading decisions or business activities. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor if needed before making any decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and carry risks. Trade responsibly.
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Climax:
The Buying Climax (BC) marked the peak of the upward momentum, where buyers exhausted their strength.
Automatic Reaction (AR):
After the BC, the price saw a sharp correction, defining the lower boundary of the range.
Secondary Test (ST):
The price revisited the range high, confirming the resistance zone and showing weakness at the upper levels.
Upthrust:
A false breakout above the resistance zone trapped buyers, further supporting the distribution narrative.
Bearish Rising Wedge:
The price action formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish continuation pattern. A breakdown below the wedge could trigger a move towards the $82,000 support zone.
Possible Scenario:
Breakdown Confirmation:
A breakdown from the wedge combined with increasing sell volume could lead to a sharp decline.
Target Zone: The immediate target lies around $83,000, with potential further downside if the distribution phase completes.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $94,000 - $93,500 (false breakout zone).
Support: $82,000 (range low).
**Disclaimer:**
This analysis is for **educational and informational purposes only** and does not constitute a recommendation for trading decisions or business activities. Please conduct your own analysis and consult a financial advisor if needed before making any decisions. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and carry risks. Trade responsibly.
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