Market Cap: CAD 55.6B P/E Ratio: 12.89 (Moderately undervalued compared to industry averages) Dividend Yield: 5.91% (Solid for income investors) Revenue Growth: 2.58% YoY (Recent FY revenue: CAD 21.31B) Next Earnings Date: December 7, 2024
Technical Reasons for Upside
Bullish Hammer Formation: Recent price action carved out a hammer candlestick on November 20, signaling strong buyer support at lower levels.
Ascending Channel Support: The stock is hugging the bottom of a long-term bullish channel, offering an attractive risk-reward entry.
Oversold RSI Recovery: Daily RSI bounced from oversold levels (38), aligning with potential upward momentum.
Fundamental Reasons for Upside
Strong Dividend Play: A consistent 5.91% yield positions CM as a defensive pick amid market volatility, attracting income investors.
Positive Analyst Sentiment: Recent upgrades, with price targets ranging from CAD 94 to CAD 97, signal optimism in CM’s performance.
Improved Loan Portfolio Risk: Management’s risk transfer initiatives are reducing exposure to corporate defaults.
Potential Paths to Profit
Low Risk: Accumulate shares below CAD 93. Enjoy the dividends and hold until the target is hit.
Options Play: Buy Dec 20, 2024 CAD 94 calls (~CAD 2.10 premium). Attractive theta decay under low volatility.
Pair Trade: Hedge with short positions in a weaker Canadian bank like Laurentian (LB).
Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.