Considerations - 4Monthly Chart Index in focus - CNXMetal Details -
I have currently taken nifty metal's 4monthly chart, it means that it takes 4 months to form one candlestick
The timeframe will be quite large, the vision that I have might take 1-3 years time
Technically we can see the consolidation happening at a larger time frame near to 52 weeks high
A flag pattern and a correcting RSI
If we manage to break the current ATH then we may see a mega bull run in metal sector irrespective of the commodity price, which I feel have bottomed and will consolidate at current levels.
Only concern is ADANI Enterprise, it has the highest allocation in the sector. Also it is trading at a very very high valuations. It is having an RSI of 97 on 4M candle, I see the correction will be there in next one year or few months. I AM SHORTING FOR SURE!
I feel that the core metal producers will have an upper hand in this rally and not ADANI
BUT.....This is valid if the metal index does a break out above ATH
Top constituents by weightage Tata Steel Ltd. 20.41 JSW Steel Ltd. 15.83 Hindalco Industries Ltd. 14.76 Vedanta Ltd. 7.80 Jindal Steel & Power Ltd. 4.56 APL Apollo Tubes Ltd. 3.90 Steel Authority of India Ltd. 2.83 Hindustan Zinc Ltd. 1.79 National Aluminium Co. Ltd. 1.57
I am bullish on GPIL and VEDL
Disclaimer - Please DYOR, Don't take any position based on the above calls.