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DXY Analysis: Potential Bullish and Bearish Scenarios

Overview:
This analysis of the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) on a 4-hour timeframe outlines potential bullish and bearish scenarios based on price movements and key levels.

Bullish Scenario:
For a bullish continuation, we need to see:

Corrective price movement in the area of the blue box.

An impulsive move above the last short-term high, forming a liquidity zone (LQZ) on a lower timeframe, or a bullish pattern such as a bull flag on the 1-hour or 15-minute chart.

Bearish Scenario:
For a bearish continuation, the following conditions should be met:

A clear impulsive move underneath the blue transparent box structure.
Confirmation of the break below, either through the formation of a LQZ or a bearish pattern, indicating a continued push lower.

Possible False Breakout:
There is also the possibility of a false breakout, where the price briefly breaks a level but fails to sustain the movement, reversing direction instead.

Mindset Lesson: Handling Uncertainty and False Breakouts:

Stay disciplined and stick to your trading plan.

Embrace flexibility and be ready to adjust your approach.

Manage risk effectively.

Be patient and wait for the right setups.

Learn from each trade to continuously improve.