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EGAL: Bearish Continuation with Potential Downside

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EGX:EGAL   EGYPT ALUMINUM
The EGAL stock, analyzed using Heikin Ashi candles, reveals the formation of a descending triangle pattern. This pattern is characterized by a descending resistance line and a relatively stable support base around the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, indicating potential bearish continuation.

- **Heikin Ashi Candles:** Indicate a prevailing bearish momentum.
- **Volume Price Trend (VPT):** Shows declining volume during upward movements, suggesting weakening buying pressure.
- **Effort vs. Results Indicator:** Significant effort does not correspond to expected price gains, indicating market inefficiency and a lack of robust buying support.

If the stock fails to break above the descending resistance line, particularly with notable volume, it suggests the likelihood of downward movement. A breach below the support line could lead to further declines, potentially targeting levels around 81 EGP or lower. Conversely, a breakout above the resistance line with strong volume could indicate a bullish reversal, though current indicators lean towards a bearish outlook.

**Outlook for Intraday Traders:**
- **Bearish Scenario:** If the stock remains below the descending resistance line, intraday traders should consider short positions if it approaches the current support level, targeting a drop towards 81 EGP or lower.
- **Bullish Scenario:** If the stock breaks above the resistance line with significant volume, consider long positions, targeting the 110-115 EGP zone.

**Outlook for Weekly Traders:**
- **Bearish Scenario:** Monitor the stock for a potential breakdown below the current support level. A move towards 81 EGP or lower could present short-selling opportunities.
- **Bullish Scenario:** Look for a decisive breakout above the resistance line. Sustained movement upwards with volume could indicate potential gains towards the 110-115 EGP range.

**Recommendation for Current Holders (around 100 EGP):**
- **Primary Recommendation:** Given the existing bearish indicators, consider setting a stop-loss near the current support level to mitigate potential losses.
- **Secondary Recommendation:** If the stock breaks above the descending resistance line with strong volume, it might be prudent to hold for potential gains, targeting the 110-115 EGP zone.

CONCLUSION:
The overall sentiment for EGAL stock remains bearish unless a strong breakout above the descending triangle's resistance line is established with substantial volume. Failure to maintain the support could confirm the descending triangle with a downside target revisiting lows around the 81 EGP level or lower.

Mohamed
THE Ichimoku MAN on the Nile
#traders4traders
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