Currently the IV for SPX is at 6.25%, down from 6.67% last month. From the volatility current percentile we are located on 58th place, and based on this we can expect the monthly candle to make the next aprox movement: Bullish : 6.544% Bearish : 6.106%
With this in mind we have currently 81.1% that the market is going to stay within the next channel TOP Limit: 4154 BOT Limit: 3635
If we are going to take a look into the previous monthly high and low points, currently there is a : 38.18% to hit the previous monthly high 56.52% to hit the previous monthly low
Lastly from the technical analysis point of view, currently ( going from -100 to +100) Weekly Timeframe : -26.67% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH Monthly Timeframe : -13.33% of rating moving averages is indicating BEARISH