Title: S&P 500 E-mini Futures ( ES1! ), H4 Potential for Bearish Drop Type: Bearish Drop Resistance: 4037.50 Pivot: 3966.50 Support: 3788.50
Preferred case: Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for SPX is bearish due to the current price crossing below the Ichimoku cloud , indicating a bearish market. To add confluence to this bias, price has also broken down and out of the ascending channel . If this bearish momentum continues, expect price to continue heading towards the support at 3788.50, where the previous swing low is.
Alternative scenario: Price could head back up to retest the pivot at 3966.50, where the 23.6% Fibonacci line is.