S&P 500 - short

2016年7月17日

VIX closed last week on the lowest level since august 2015 – and we all remember what happened then. This, combined with the highest ever level for S&P 500 make me a little cautious in the short term. Move up in S&P 500 looks somewhat tired. I believe market needs some rest and is ready for a small correction. So here is my idea for the trade:


buy VXX (iPath S&P 500 VIX ST Futures) in anticipation of S&P to decrease to 2100-2090 level in the next one to two weeks or

sell short ES1! (S&P e-mini futures) with the target 2091-2085.

As usual, watch your risk and follow capital guidelines.

2016年7月18日

注释

Look ar that NAAIM exposure index chart:
naaim.org/programs/naaim-exposure-index/

Seems to me investment managers have pushed their clients (equity accounts) to be nearly fully allocated to stocks.