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ETH/USD Secondary trend. Bullish triangle. Breakout. Target 96%

已更新

Logarithm. Time frame 1 week (less is not necessary). Horizontal accumulation channel has reformatted due to price holding near the meridian zone of the 1500 level into an ascending triangle (bullish triangle).

Linear for clarity.

Locally breakout zone. Time frame 1 day

Fractals. Underperformance due to liquidity and capitalization.

Similar things are developing only more slowly (liquidity) as recently in SOL/USDT.

SOL/USDT Secondary trend (part). Triangle. 1 10 2023

SOL/USDT Вторичный тренд (часть). Треугольник. 1 10 2023

Already almost +150% off the breakout.
ETH will be a bit off due to timing, but the gist is similar....

Or in the past LISK/USD in the distant 2020 (Interest is different due to liquidity)

LISK/USD Major trend. Triangle. 24 12 2020

+325%

On growth always wait for correction, on fall for growth (reversion), such is the psychology of behavior of most market participants..

Memo to the hamster. Sometimes staying out of the market is the best strategy.[/b

By the end of 2024 the price with "high probability" for this bankable super centralized cryptocurrency will be over 10k. In 2025 in the distribution zone (trend highs) over 20k.

Risk Management..

There will very likely be a “super takeout” (emphasis added, this is a logical “as always” probability). Look at a chart of ether or bitcoin and think about when it is more rational to do this. Probably, it will seem like everything is "going to hell", treat it coldly, buy back in installments with a grid of orders from the profit that will be in the near medium term. But, it does not change the above described target of the cycle of “participation” and “distribution”.

When the price falls—the majority of market participants expect prices to rise or at least return to the past maximums.

When the price rises—the majority, "according to the habit of previous self-deception" expects prices to fall....

The greater the price growth, the greater the expectation, up to the "point of breaking the opinion" (when it is already necessary to do everything the other way around).

A perfect scheme of making money on the expectation of the majority.

注释

Those who manage large capital I advise to pay attention to ETH, if the price fixes roughly speaking above 2135 (previous local maximum) then the big bullish triangle closes and there will be a "shot" like on SOL +160% (identical), but the percentage is an order of magnitude less. But, for such a liquid instrument it is significant.

🟡 Medium urgency. For example, if the triangle will work out its targets, then 2 targets (more than +44) with a high probability will be closed, possibly the third one (about +72%).

I advise to close in installments or if you hold coins on the exchange or work on margin, then protect the profit #stopLoss

🔵Main trend. Participation phase (not distribution). Well. and if you are more patient, and working with pullbacks to you brings you only frustration ("it would be better to stay out"), this cryptocurrency of the largest US bank JP Morgan Chase with a capitalization of $455 billion and the second bank in the world, with a high probability in late 2024 and early 2025 the price will be traded over 10 thousand $

Recall that this bank is second only to Industrial and Commercial Bank of China. JPMorgan to the "master" of BTC and USDT (the direction of digitalization "ours will win") to them as to the sky, because there are "managers" of the middle level, but still, it is the second bank in the world, such their super centralized banking creation and investments protect and elevate at a distance. It doesn't matter what they say in the media and what they do on the chart locally squeezing coins for even greater centralization.

📈🐹 Liquidity and hamster expectations of huge %'s.

I think true hamsters medium term expectation will not be satisfied. It is clear that due to liquidity the instrument is slower (high liquidity) and the % is more moderate, but due to this the amount you can comfortably work with without fear of price slippage (low liquidity) is substantial. That allows you to take margin leverage (cross or isolated is not important, the main thing that not futures with "hamster leverage" with kopecks mullion) and thereby further increase profits.

💰📊Money and risk management.

The less leverage the greater the guarantee that you will actually take a profit, rather than being thrown out in advance with a loss instead of a guaranteed profit ("saw") or a problem with the exchange.

I think that you are not crazy to violate the adequacy man-management and keep for example a big position on the stock exchange (by big I mean really big, but something big from the position of a hamster).

🐳 For those who really respect and understand what big money is and reduce any even hypothetical risk - I advise you to work in spot and positionally withdrawing coins from the exchange. Have money in advance in case of the last capitulation (probability is not more than that, maybe before that you will have a significant profit and decide to sell your ETH).

🗣 News: BlackRock has filed a spot ETF on ETH (meaning, a similar play on expectations as on BTC). On this, from time to time they can "accelerate the price" and make local corrections (carry, rejections).

🎲 Ether from the position of making money has more potential at the moment than bitcoin, which is understandable. Although the risk is similarly present (good time for the final reset of capitulation to the world situation).

注释

locally a breakout zone right now.

交易结束：到达目标

the first local target has been reached +20% This is the same as on cryptocurrency +200% liquidity is taken into account and the amount that can be rolled not only on margin, but in the spot.

交易开始

The first local target is reached +20% level 2417 (2392,4) And this is a difference of only 25$, which is a % of error, 1% is 24,17$. are you playing on options?)

注释

After the breakout of a large ascending triangle (bullish) consolidation under the local resistance level of 2417. One of the most interesting liquid TOP coins for positional trading.

1️⃣🟢 Breakout - impulsive growth. Key targets on the chart.

2️⃣🔴 Possible local pullback to the zone of mirror breakout level of $2000 (lower probability, but it will not break the trend).

3️⃣🟣 The third option is described and shown on the chart (capitulation of the market as a whole before the phase change to a pronounced bullish phase, liquidation of futures positions and margin).

注释

ETH Ethereum developers have scheduled a Dencun update on the core network for March 13th

交易结束：到达目标

Line chart for clarity. Now in the moment gentlemen traders, not hamsters. The first local target of the ETH/SOL triangle, level 3538.4 $ is reached +40.9% from the breakout of the second reversal level 2417 $. Which is +75% from the breakout of the resistance of this bullish ascending triangle of 2002 $ level. The profit is significant, taking into account the liquidity of the instrument.

Remember that March 13 will be Dencun). There are still 10 days until that time. More global targets and not only in the previous this publication 11 11 23).

交易开始

注释

08 03 2024/ Ether reached the level of 3928.1 Now at the moment the price is 3960. The psychological breakout zone is 4000$. Behind this zone is a lot of protective shorts spop loss.

The target of a huge triangle +96% this liquid instrument has been reached.

交易开始

07/22/2024

has not updated for a long time (4 months) as there was no need for it. The price is again 3538.4. From this reversal zone it showed percentages to key support/resistance levels.

Remember, the main hype for assets related to infrastructure (especially the scalability of the L2 and L3 network) of ETH and JPMorgan will be when the underlying asset is in the first distribution zone of this cycle, that is, above $10,000. STRK, ARB, OP, ZK.... It is also worth paying attention then (perhaps now in advance) to the “parent” of the underlying asset, that is, ETH.

交易结束：到达目标

-31.99% decline from the reversal zone (resistance of the descending channel) to the liquid zone of level 2417, price slippage by -40.4% to the zone of level 2002 (retest of the mirror level of the set resistance) to $ 2112.

This huge squeeze liquidated many longs. Now in the liquidity zone at the dynamic support of the Gann fan, a triangular formation is forming. Something similar happened in March 2020.

ETH/USD Треугольник. Цена сжимается. Скоро развязка.

交易开始

The key support / resistance levels, reversal zones, and percentages from them for orientation are shown.

A breakout upwards — like in March 2020, and this drain — collecting liquidity and taking out passengers. The key level is 2730. There will be big news. The first local resistance is the meridian (highlighted in green dotted line).

A breakout downwards — the implementation of a descending pennant, this conditional triangle will act as its canvas. The flagpole's target is around $1666. The first local support is naturally the mirror support level of 2002, which was previously the resistance of the recruitment zone.

It is worth noting that ETH, as the second liquid asset after Bitcoin, is being massively bought out, and for certain reasons (ETF, JP Morgan) there is a huge interest from large capital. In percentage terms, they will pump up more than Bitcoin in this cycle.

注释

14 08 2024

everything is the same, valuable within the canvas, local price consolidation. There will be a denouement soon. Most likely, an impulse to break through key zones. The options and the essence are described and shown above. Ether as a highly liquid altcoin will "give direction for a while" to other less liquid assets. Let me remind you, this is local work.

注释

19 10 2024

Then a classic symmetrical triangle is formed near an important reversal zone, with 3 waves inside a large scale. In the near future there will be a denouement (you can work on a breakthrough), with a high probability of an upward exit.

If by some miracle there will be a downward breakthrough (through a false breakthrough or without it, which is less likely), then the targets for reduction and return are shown.
Percentages for clarity (target zones as before) are shown to key support / resistance levels.

注释

25 12 2024

locally this potential triangle (it doesn't exist yet) looks like this.