ETHUSD Perspective And Levels: 345 Target Near. Stop Break Even.

2017年8月21日

ETHUSD Update: 315 resistance breaks and subdegreee Wave 3 is in play just as I wrote about in my previous report. For those of you who go long in the 280s and 90s, 345 is my first target and 374 is my second target.

Clearly a bullish catalyst has sparked the rally, at this point I do not even know what the catalyst is, I can just tell by the vertical nature of this price action. BTC is stagnant which is proving that these markets are competing for order flow and money rotates in and out of them on a selective basis compared to the"follow the leader" relationship I was looking to identify in previous reports.

Now it's about managing the trade. 345 is my first target which I will sell half of my position. The 350 resistance is a target I have been talking about for a number of reports and I stick to my plan. The other half of the position I will let ride and look to sell 25% of it at the 374 level which is the upper portion of the resistance zone. And if that target is reached, then I will let my small portion ride until I determine my next target. The upcoming resistance zone is proportional to the .618 of the previous broad bearish swing.

At the same time, I am now adjusting my stop to break even so that this trade no longer carries any risk. It is possible to give back profit, but that is not loss, that is profit. So my stop is now adjusted to 295.

Also the 306 to 315 area which served as such a tough resistance is now a support level based on inversion. In terms of proportion, a retrace from current levels should not overlap this price area. Something to keep in mind if a minor retrace unfolds from here.

As I mentioned in my previous report, Wave 3's are the ones that wow the market. And they are never the shortest wave in terms of the Elliott Wave rules. Once this wave completes, the next retrace will offer one more buying opportunity to complete the 5th wave of the larger degree Wave 5. I will be able to evaluate targets and risk once the new subdegree 4 is in place.

In summary, this market is in a subdegree Wave 3 which is no surprise and has finally stolen the order flow spot light. I expect my first target of 345 to be reached today and if 350 breaks, the 380 area is likely to be reached in the next day or so as well. My stop has been moved to breakeven which means my trade carries no risk it's all about management from here. Price action analysis. It works.

I would like to thank the Tradingview community for your support and appreciation, as of yesterday I have reached over 1k followers.

Questions and comments welcome.

2017年8月21日

注释

Sold 50% of position at 345 target for 50+ point profit. Stop raised to 306 for a +12 minimum profit. Trade is risk free now.